Paul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 29th.
Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule starting at 1:07 pm. As always, be sure to check the weather report before game time, as there may be issues with the following games: Seattle at Chicago (AL), Los Angeles (AL) at Cleveland, New York (AL) at Atlanta. Also, be sure to check your lineup for any last-minute scratches. Good luck!
Today Draft Kings has no all-day contests, so I’m going with the 11 games that start after 7:05 pm. It’s the biggest contest they offer for today, so as much as I HATE it, it’s the best I can do today. With the new format doubling my workload and a crazy busy work day, I’m going to cut right to the chase with my suggestions. Good luck; I hope you
Studs: Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians ($12,900)
- Kluber, with 37 strikeouts and just 4 walks in his past 4 starts, goes up against the Angels who have the 4th worst offense in August. As bad as the Angels have been (hitting just .235 in the last week), they roughed up Kluber pretty good the last time they faced off. Kluber is the most expensive option of the evening and likely the best, but I’m not convinced of the value, especially when the weather is factored in.
- After Kluber, there are a lot of “good” pitchers, but none of them are performing at a high enough level lately, nor have a spectacular enough match-up today to warrant me giving them a boost to this tier. I like Severino ($10,400) and Iwakuma ($10,000) but they’re both priced $1000 more than I’d [ideally] want to spend.
Bang for Your Buck: Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals ($9,500), J.A. Happ, Pittsburgh Pirates ($7,700)
- Zimmermann has a 2.68 ERA at home and has the good fortune of facing the Marlins who have hit just .204 as a team over the past week. JZ is 7-4 lifetime against the Marlins with a 3.24 ERA and has given up 6 ER against them in 3 starts this year for a 2.84 mark.
- Jim Finch wrote about Happ yesterday when he looked at weekend streaming options. There’s more than enough there to convince me that he’s a good value today.
Hail Mary: Mike Pelfrey, Minnesota Twins ($5,700), Matt Wisler, Atlanta Braves ($4,900)
- Pelfrey was another name that Jim wrote up, and while I may have a hard time putting him into my lineup today, he definitely qualifies as a “Hail Mary”
- Wisler takes on the Yankees in Atlanta today, and that lineup will feature Bird, Headley, Gregorius, Drew and Severino batting 5th through 9th. Ellsbury is dinged up as well, making this not the powerhouse Yankees lineup you’ve come to expect. Wisler also has a 3.65 ERA at home versus the 6.53 he has on the road. It’s a long-shot, but I don’t mind it really.
Studs: Kyle Schwarber, Chicago Cubs ($4,300)
Schwarber is hitting RHP for nearly a 1.100 OPS over 125 plate appearances, and goes up against Mat Latos of the Dodgers today. Latos gives up power to LHH, allowing a .285/.333/.459 line this year.
Bang for your buck: Derek Norris, San Diego Padres ($3,400)
Norris is hitting .293 against LHP for the year, and .288 for the month of August. Today he faces Phillies LHP Adam Morgan who allows a .379 wOBA to RHH.
Hail Mary: Matt Wieters, Baltimore Orioles ($3,200)
Wieters is hitting .308 with a .519 SLG against LHP this year and faces Martin Perez in Texas. He has had some success against Perez in the past going 3-6 with a double. If you’re looking for a bigger Hail Mary, keep an eye on Tucker Barnhart from the Reds. If he’s in the lineup I may give him a shot at just $2,700.
Studs: Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks ($5,900)
Goldy is more expensive than my SP2 today, but against a LHP at home, he’s ridiculous (1.240 OPS). Today he gets to feast on Felix Doubront who has a 4.01 xFIP and a .291 BAA versus right-handed hitters. If you can afford him, he’s a safe bet to score a bunch of points.
Bang for your buck: Mitch Moreland, Texas Rangers ($3,700)
Moreland has been quietly crushing RHP all year, with 15 HR and an OPS of .879. Today he faces Ubaldo Jimenez who has given up 17 HR already this year, including 9 in his last 8 starts. Jimenez is awful on the road as well, making this match up even more enticing.
Hail Mary: Logan Morrison, Seattle Mariners ($3,100)
Morrison goes up against Jeff Samardzija today, having hit 13 home runs this year against RHP. Samardzija gives up a lot of power to LHH and Morrison has had previous success against him. In just 16 PA, LoMo has a 1.333 OPS against Samardzija with 2 HR and 4 walks.
Studs: Robinson Cano, Seattle Mariners ($4,000)
Cano is another Mariners LHH to target today and I feel pretty good about this price point as well. Cano is hitting .289 against RHP this year, and .340 for the month of August. He has 8 HR in the second half and was 2-3 with a double against Samardzija the last time they faced off.
Bang for your buck: Rougned Odor, Texas Rangers ($3,600)
Odor is slugging .600 in the second half and gets to face Ubaldo Jimenez as another LHH to target from Texas. Odor remained out of last night’s lineup due to a banged up middle finger. If he’s back, that finger is going to be pointed to everyone who didn’t play him today.
Hail Mary: Jedd Gyorko, San Diego Padres ($2,900)
Gyorko has hit 7 HR since the All-Star break and goes up against LHP Adam Morgan in Philadelphia today. Morgan I have mentioned struggles against RH hitters while Gyorko has hit 8 of his 10 HR against left-handers.
Studs: Miguel Sano, Minnesota Twins ($4,900)
Sano faces Mike Fiers tonight who has given up 16 home runs already this season. He’s coming off a 134 pitch effort and I expect he’ll get crushed today. Sano has hit 11 of his 12 HR against RHP and has an OPS of nearly 1.150 in August.
Bank for your buck: Adrian Beltre, Texas Rangers ($4,200)
Beltre is hitting .391 lifetime against Ubaldo Jimenez with a pair of home runs and 3 doubles in 23 at bats. He has also hit 5 home runs this month, batting around .300.
Hail Mary: Aaron Hill, Arizona Diamondbacks ($2,700)
I probably won’t cheap out at third base today, but Hill was considered for the Hail Mary spot at 2B as well. Hill goes up against Felix Doubront today at home and could make for a cheap addition to a D’Backs stack.
Bank for your buck: Ian Desmond, Washington Nationals ($3,700)
Desmond hit his 16th HR last night, his 9th since the All-Star break while hitting .290 for the month. He faces Tom Koehler who has a 5.21 ERA in the second half and whom he has had moderate success against in the past.
Hail Mary: Eduardo Escobar, Minnesota Twins ($3,000) and Jody Mercer, Pittsburgh Pirates ($2,900)
- The fine print in my contract says I must include 3 names per position, so we get two cheap options today at short. Escobar goes up against Fiers and was 2-3 with a triple and a walk when they faced earlier this year.
- Mercer meanwhile hits LHP slightly better than RHP and does better at home than away. Add those factors to Chris Rusin who has an ERA approaching 7.00 in the second half and it wouldn’t be a bad idea to have some Pirates in your lineup today.
Studs: Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals ($5,600), A.J. Pollock, Arizona Diamondbacks ($5,400), Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates ($5,100)
- Harper has hit 5 home runs against Koehler in just 21 at bats in his career. He’s hitting .323 in the second half while holding a 1.150 OPS against RHP for the season
- Pollock and Goldschmidt would make a great pairing today if you could squeeze them in together against LHP Doubront at home. Pollock kills LHP, hitting .343 with a .925 OPS for the year.
- McCutchen is just smoking hot right now, hitting for a 1.100 OPS this month. For the year, he’s batting .343 against LHP and gets to tee off against Chris Rusin tonight. He has a 1.200 OPS at home this year against LHP. Wow!
Bang for your buck: Jay Bruce, Cincinnati Reds ($3,900), Josh Reddick, Oakland Athletics ($3,700), Shin-soo Choo, Texas Rangers ($3,800)
- Jay Bruce is in one of his valleys right now, hitting just .137 in August. He’s more of a Hail Mary today, but his price isn’t low enough. As awful as that sounds, he has had success against Matt Garza, hitting .333 with a pair of home runs. Garza has given up 22 HR this year, and if ever there was a day for Bruce to start one of his hot streaks, it’s today.
- Reddick is hitting .295 against RHP this year and gets to face Jhoulys Chacin in Arizona today. Chacin pitched well in his only game this year, but gave up a HR to a lefty, and it’s Jhoulys Chacin.
- Choo goes up against one of my favorite whipping boys today Ubaldo Jimenez. I’m stacking Rangers wherever possible and Choo is a good one with his .852 OPS against RHP.
Hail Mary: Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins ($2,600), Will Venable, Texas Rangers ($2,900), Eddie Rosario, Minnesota Twins ($3,300)
- I’m going to lump Buxton and Rosario together just to spite myself and other prospect lovers everywhere. The Twins take on the Astros today and Mike Fiers as he makes his first appearance since his no-hitter. Buxton should be leading off while Rosario will find himself likely in the 5 hole. Buxton has 14 hits in his 7 games since returning from the DL and Rosario is hitting RHP better than LHP. Small things maybe, but at these prices I like them today.
- Facing RHP is what Venable was brought to Texas for and he’s done well, hitting .267 for the year with a .733 OPS. He’s 5-15 lifetime against Ubaldo Jimenez and makes for a cheap addition to your Rangers stack today.
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