DFS – Aug 9 – $unday Funday

DFS Baseball LogoPaul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 9th.

Today we have a full slate of games on the MLB schedule starting at 1:05 p.m.

As always, keep an eye on the weather forecast as there may be issues with the following game: San Francisco at Chicago (NL).  And make sure to check your lineup before game time for any late scratches.

Every Sunday we run a  $1 contest to much fanfare and excitement. With just 50 spots, it fills in quickly, so hurry up and join us!! The payouts will be as follows: 1st place $13.50; 2nd place $11.25; 3rd place $9.00; 4th place $6.75; 5th place $4.50.
Last week was another tough one for our crew here as I finished in 14th place and Jim came in at #42. I hit on both of my starting pitchers AND did very well with my wild card choice when Daniel Murphy hit one out, but the rest of my bats went to sleep one me. Today I’m looking to get back in the money after some intense research. Best of luck to everyone today!! Here are last week’s winners:

1. flashg444
2. DominoJoe420
3. bone_blazer
4. TeHDruiD

5. bstahoviak

To join in today’s free contest, click the magic hat and set your lineup. I’ll list my recommendations below as well as my full lineup on twitter @fantasyassembly (when possible). This is your chance to play with some of the Fantasy Assembly team and maybe win some ca$h.
So play, and have yourself a $unday FUNday!

I’m heading out early today to Detroit for what will likely be my last game of the year. As anxious as I am to see Henry Owens, I expect the Tigers RH hitters to give him a little trouble. Whether or not, it’s more trouble than Justin Verlander will get into remains to be seen. Vegas has this game with 9 runs as the over/under so there should be plenty of offense here. I’ve got a couple Detroit hitters and 1 Red Sox bat in my lineup, hoping to enjoy the game while making some cash. Enjoy your Sunday baseball and good luck.

1. Corey Kluber, SP, Cleveland Indians ($10,600) Cashner has had a couple of hiccups over the past two weeks, but I love this match up today against the Twins. Minnesota is scuffling HUGE right now offensively, hitting just .224 and striking out 22.5% of the time in the 2nd half. Kluber meanwhile has had some serious bad luck this year at 6-12 with a 2.89 xFIP. His K rate is still high at 26.8% and he’s walking hitters at less than 5%. Kluber is also better at home and pitched great against the Twins earlier this year, going 8 innings allowing just 1 run while striking out 8. I expect another big day from Kluber, and Vegas agrees with me, having the Twins as -165 favorites. 

2. Andrew Cashner, SP, San Diego Padres ($6,700) Cashner has pitched extremely well in 5 of his last 6 outings, averaging nearly 7 innings with just 2 earned runs. Today he faces the Phillies at home; a team he is 2-0 lifetime against with a 1.25 ERA over 21.2 innings. Cashner has a lot of success at home and this year is no different. He has a 26.9% K rate and 4.3% BB rate at Petco; a K-BB% that would put him 5th in all of baseball this year. Vegas has the Padres as the second highest favorite today at -180 with a 7 as the game score. The biggest favorite is Max Scherzer of course, but for half the price, I’m skipping Mad Max and going with Cashner.

3. David Ortiz, 1B, Boston Red Sox ($4,000) Ortiz is up to 23 HR for the year, with 19 of them coming against RHP. Over the past 20 games, he’s hit 8 homers while batting .280/.357/.613. Today he faces Justin Verlander whom he has had a ton of success against. In 27 AB, he’s hit .370/.433/.741 against JV with 2 home runs and 4 doubles. Verlander has given up 10 HR this year in just 9 starts, so it’s reasonable to expect to see one today and Ortiz is the best bet to do it. 

4. Anthony Rendon, 2B, Washington Nationals ($3,600) At some point last night the Rockies flip-flopped their weekend starters, moving Eddie Butler up to Saturday and Yohan Flande to Sunday. If you read my picks yesterday, I was all-in on the Nats RH bats and I am feeling no different today. Rendon hits lefties very well, with a career .310/.363/.463 line against the southpaws, including 3-6 against Flande. This year, in limited at bats, he’s having the same type of success, hitting .368 against them. It’s a great price for a strong bat today.

5. Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, New York Yankees ($4,700) and 6. Brett Gardner, OF, New York Yankees ($4,800) I’m pairing these two together, expecting them both to have big success today against Marco Estrada of the Blue Jays. Estrada is pitching to a 3.40 ERA while his xFIP sits at 4.61. The Yankess faces Estrada earlier in the year, scoring 5 runs against him in less than 5 innings. Ellsbury was 3-3 against him with 2 stolen bases while Gardner didn’t play. Gardner is hitting .296/.377/.464 against RHP this year, and those numbers improve exponentially at home where he mashes them to the tune of .359/.444/.595. Ellsbury also has more success against RHP, though his style of play doesn’t make for huge splits whether at home or away. Between the two LH outfielders, Estrada is in a world of trouble today, jeopardizing this amazing run the Jays have been on. Vegas likes the Yankees to win with 8.5 as the game score; I suspect the Yankees will score 5 or 6 with the top of the lineup doing most of the damage.

7. Nick Castellanos, 3B, Detroit Tigers ($3,100) Castellanos goes up against LHP Henry Owens today, holding a .342/.412/.487 line against left-handers this year. He’s also slugging .500 in the 2nd half with a 40% hard-hit rate. For $3,100, and just 3.3% played last night on Draft Kings (against another LHP), there is potential for a significant pay-off here. I’m getting in…. again.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly

 

 

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Paul Hartman
Fantasy Baseball player since 1987. Creator of Fantasy Assembly, yet just fortunate enough to be a part of it.
Paul Hartman

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