Another week, another set of streamers coming your way. Well, before they come your way, we need to look at last week’s streaming performance. Last week’s weekday streamers crushed it. Not a one of them allowed more than three earned runs and six of the eight recommended streamers had quality starts. Overall, the eight starters went 5-2, with a 1.52 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP and a 9.11 K/9. Yeah, it was an epic week here at Field of Streams and a week that will probably be tough to top, but I’ll give it my best this time around. The epicness of it all last week means there is no call for ins, outs and what have yous, since six of the eight starts were “ins” and there were no “outs”. For now, let’s just take a moment to celebrate me and bask in my greatness. Okay, that’s good. Now, on to the main course…
Jimmy Nelson, Brewers (@ Phillies) – Yep, it is once again time to point out that the Phillies offense is not so good. I feel like this has been addressed plenty so I don’t need to burden you with the actual numbers the Phillies are putting up. As a baseball and, more importantly a fantasy baseball fan, you should have a pretty good notion of where the Phillies stand offensively. It’s bad. That is just what Jimmy Nelson needs as he has not exactly been piling up the great starts lately. Actually his last start was fairly top-notch as Nelson went eight innings against the Mets allowing just one earned run. I still think Nelson has the stuff to be a decent starter consistently down the road, which in turn means I think he can be a decent starter now against the Phillies.
11.4% owned in ESPN, 12% owned in Yahoo!
Nate Karns, Rays (vs. Indians) – Nate Karns is not a pitcher I have a lot of knowledge of, per se, but he has an ERA of 3.28 which is as good a place as any to start. Now, the FIP is close to four so a bit of regression could be on the horizon, but even an ERA of four could be perfectly acceptable for our streaming purposes. Plus the results are really all that matters; in nine of Nate’s last 11 starts, he has allowed two earned runs or less. Those results will certainly play. Plus, aside from his first start of the season, Karns has not allowed more than five runs in a start and has only failed to go at least five innings in one start. So, there seems to be a low implodability factor here. The fact that Karns draws the Tribe in this one will also keep that factor on the low side. You see, over the past two weeks, the Tribe are 21st in wOBA, 26th in ISO and 27th in runs scored so their offense has not exactly been electric. Put all of the aforementioned numbers together and you end up with some streamy goodness.
19.2% owned in ESPN, 20% owned in Yahoo!
Marco Estrada, Blue Jays (vs. Red Sox) – You are probably aware by now that Mr. Estrada has toyed with a no-no in each of his last two starts. You may also be aware that Estrada has only allowed one run in his last 15.2 innings pitched. Marco Estrada is not Dave Stieb – despite doing a pretty good impersonation of Stieb lately – so I foresee a mild regression coming, but let’s focus on what Estrada is bringing to the table. While the SIERA is higher than the ERA, it is around four which I will certainly take. Estrada sports a K-rate over 20% which is quite decent and can kind of cover up a ground ball rate just under 40%. Both numbers are not spectacular, but nonetheless decent. Look, bottom line time here. Estrada has thrown a quality start in five of his last six starts. The one caveat is that the one non-quality start in that span was against the Red Sox whom, as you can see, Estrada faces this time out. Well, I am riding the Stieb-like Estrada in this one and think you can get yourself a quality start here.
24.3% owned in ESPN, 26% owned in Yahoo!
Michael Montgomery, Mariners (@ Padres) – Four of Monty’s five starts have been high quality, where he allowed two or fewer runs in each. In the one non-high quality start, Monty allowed four earned runs in seven and one-third innings. Not great, but not the worst outing a pitcher could have, right? Even with that start on the books, Monty has an ERA just a shade over two. Liking that, folks! Now while the SIERA and xFIP are over four, Monty’s regular FIP, (you know sans the “x”) is still under three so maybe, just maybe, a future regression could be minimal? Plus, Monty’s last start was a complete game shutout of the Royals where he struck out 10 batters. I am not saying you get that performance again, but the odds right now appear to least lean towards a start of the quality variety.
15.9% owned in ESPN, 12% owned in Yahoo!
Brett Anderson, Dodgers (@ Diamondbacks) – All Brett Anderson continues to do is put up good pitching numbers next to this name in the box score. Anderson has allowed more than three runs in a start just twice this season, and in both of those instances Brett allowed just four runs. Seven of Anderson’s last eight starts have been quality; if you are looking to nitpick and find something that says he shouldn’t be doing this, keep looking. I mean it. Anderson has a a 3.20 SIERA and a ground ball rate of (are you ready for this) close to 70%. Seventy! Anderson is quite familiar with the Diamondbacks, having faced them three times this season. Two out of three of those starts were quality, including the only one he pitched in Arizona. I think you have to keep riding the quality start train with Anderson.
16.6% owned in ESPN, 13% owned in Yahoo!
Kyle Lohse, Brewers (@ Phillies) – The fact of the matter is Kyle Lohse has not pitched well this season and truth be told I have never been a fan of Lohse’s pitching. Really, this could be short and sweet because, as I literally just mentioned, Lohse has not pitched well. I mean, it’s not even that Lohse has been getting ridiculously unlucky or anything, he has just pitched poorly. Check out his numbers, they’re bad. However, the reason you find Kyle in this space today is the fact he is facing the Phillies. The Phillies offense and Kyle Lohse have something in common. Yep, they both have terrible numbers. Something’s gotta give here (I think) and I am like 53% sure that give goes in Kyle Lohse’s direction.
4.5% owned in ESPN, 31% owned in Yahoo!
Jake Peavy, Giants (@ Marlins) – Back at the beginning of the season I mentioned that I thought Peavy was one of several lightly drafted pitchers that would be widely owned by season’s end. Peavy made that prediction seem quite silly with his pitching performance early on, but I still say time will tell on my prediction. That prediction coming to fruition could start this week in Peavy’s triumphant return from the DL. Peavy’s numbers are not super relevant, per se, what is relevant is he is healed! Well, actually the most relevant thing is he gets to face the Marlins. The Marlins offense has been dismal over the past couple of weeks and now they are looking to be without Giancarlo Stanton. Get ready for the magic.
4.1% owned in ESPN, 4% owned in Yahoo!
Matt Garza, Brewers (@ Phillies) – I mean, I don’t really have a ton more to add to the fact that Garza is facing the Phillies, but I’ll try. The Phillies are bad and this has been documented several times in this space many times this season and, well, today. So, I guess I will talk about Garza a little, here. Garza has a 4.15 xFIP and a 4.34 SIERA so ya know, he can have some good starts here and there. Since this is against the Phillies though, I think this start will be here. Does that make sense? What I am saying is a start against the Phillies is just what Matt Garza and, perhaps, your fantasy team, needs.
17.7% owned in ESPN, 30% owned in Yahoo!
Alright, that’s all I got. Go on, get outta here, go stream.
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