DFS – June 28 – Sunday FUNday

Jim previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for June 28th.

Today we have a full slate of games on the MLB schedule plus 2 double headers starting at 1:05 with Washington at Philly. As always, keep an eye on the weather forecast; since the weather forecast continues to change I’ll try to post updates on Twitter about potential issues.
Make sure to check your lineups before game times for lineup changes and late scratches. 

 

Today, and every Sunday will be about having fun with DFS at DraftKings. No worrying about losing any money, no risk to try a new strategy and no lying to your wife about your losses. We’re having Sunday FUNday here at Fantasy Assembly! You’ll need to sign up for DraftKings (no cost), and we’ll play for free every Sunday. Today’s contest is for the first 75 people, including some of the writers here. The top three finishers will have their names published next Sunday right here. Congratulations to last week’s winners!!!

  1. Pork5 – 139 points
  2. carson2202 – 133.75 points
  3. willie1948 – 133.45 points

To join in today’s free contest, click the magic hat and set your lineup. I’ll post my recommendations below as well as my full lineup on twitter (@TheJimFinch). This is your chance to play with some of the team here at Fantasy Assembly risk-free each week, and maybe have your name published in our Winner’s Circle.
So play along, and have yourself a Sunday FUNday!

Note: We may have to eliminate Sunday Funday or change it to a paid contest if we have issues (again) filling today’s contest.  Help spread the word and keep Sunday Funday alive (and free).

Last week was a rough showing for our team here at Fantasy Assembly. I led the way (again) in 17th place, while Paul rode the rookies to a 24th place finish and Jake finished in 31st. This week should be fun as there are quite a few good pitching matchups at the top of the list; even a few cheap options that could put up numbers with the big boys.  Unfortunately Chris Tillman pitches for Baltimore in their second game so you can’t take advantage of his horrific season, but Kyle Kendrick is there so left-handed Giants hitters are advised today.  Houston and Yankees hitters could also make a nice stack considering Michael Pineda and Collin McHugh have struggled lately, Pineda has a road ERA over 5.0 while McHugh has a home ERA close to 7.0.  Finally I would avoid Felix Hernandez; his games have been up and down and you want better from the second highest priced pitcher on the board today.

1. SP – Chris Archer vs Boston ($10,000): Archer faced Boston once this year back in April, holding them scoreless for 5.2 innings with 9 strikeouts.  That was with Pedroia (on the DL) and Hanley (sat for 3rd straight game yesterday) in the lineup; things look a little less scary today.  The rest of the Boston lineup will have to deal with the best pitcher over the past 30 day to take the mound today.  Over Archer’s last 5 starts he has 4 wins and 41 strikeouts over 35 innings.  He keeps the ball in the park (no more than 2 home runs in each month), limits walks (only 4 free passes this month) and is stingy when it comes to hits (6.47 H/9).  Add on the fact he has allowed more than 2 earned runs just once in his last 9 games and you’re looking at a potential dominant performance. 

2. SP – Hector Santiago vs Seattle ($7,300): I went a little cheaper on my second option, but it is a strong start none the less.  The Mariners are 24th in the league in strikeouts (for the season and the month of June) and are also in the bottom of the barrel for OBP and runs scored (dead last in runs for June).  Santiago is averaging close to a strikeout an inning and holds a home ERA that is almost 1 full point below his road ERA and .30 lower than his season ERA which stands at 2.68.  He can be hittable at times and is prone to the long ball; while Seattle is 10th in the league in home runs they are 29th in the league for the month of June with just 13.  I am somewhat worried Santiago won’t go past 6 innings, but he should keep the score low, rack up the strikeouts and put himself in line for a win.  At least 18 points sounds like a reasonable floor for the day, but don’t be surprised if Santiago makes it up to 25.

In addition to the two pitchers I’ve selected, Zach Greinke ($10,300) versus the Stantonless Marlins makes a strong play if you want to play him over Archer or if you can find some value bats to squeeze him into your second pitcher slot.  Carlos Martinez ($9,000) at home against the strikeout prone Cubs is another great option and he has been almost as dominant as Archer over the last 30 days.  If you’re feeling really froggy, Drew Hutchison ($6,500) has a home ERA of 2.38; that’s 3 points lower than his season ERA.  He has been pitching well every other game since May 14th allowing 2 or fewer runs in odd games – today is an odd game.

3. C – Stephen Vogt vs Kansas City ($4,200): I should go cheap at catcher, but I just love this matchup.  Vogt has 13 home runs – 12 of them versus righties.  He is also hitting .347 at home and .435 over the past 7 days.  Today’s opposing pitcher is Jeremy Guthrie and he brings a lot of baggage with him.  Let us start with the obvious 5.90 ERA, then we move onto the 8.15 road ERA and we finish off with the fact he has a .341 BAA vs left-handed hitters.  Oh, and did I mentioned that 10 of his 12 home runs allowed this season were against lefties?  How can you not love this matchup?

4. 3B – Alex Rodriguez vs Houston ($4,400) A-Rod has been quiet the past 2 days in Houston, but that just means he’s due.  Over the past two weeks he is hitting .333 with 4 home runs, 5 multi-hit games and 14 RBIs.  Against right-handed pitchers he is hitting .304 and 12 of his 15 homers have come against righties.  I mentioned opposing pitcher Collin McHugh in the introduction as someone to avoid today.  McHugh has a home ERA of 6.82 with a .301 BAA; the home BAA is right in line with what right-handed hitters are doing against him as well.  I’m expecting at least 2 hits, one of which should clear the OF wall.

5. 2B – Logan Forsythe vs Boston ($3,300): This is one of the most underrated and underappreciated second basemen in fantasy today.  For the season Forsythe is hitting .298, .312 at home and .318 against righties.  Over the past 7 days he is hitting .440 with a home run and 2 stolen bases.  Today victim opposing pitcher is Justin Masterson who has been horrible for a year and a half now.  Prior to his DL trip Masterson was sporting a 6.37 ERA, and his numbers at Tropicana Field are just as hideous:

GS IP H BB ER HR ERA WHIP BAA
7 6 33.2 38 25 25 6 6.68 1.93 .297

The only thing Masterson has going for him here is Forsythe is a right-handed hitter; Masterson struggles against lefties.  Regardless, Masterson is bad and Forsythe is hot and a bargain at $3,300. 

6. OF – Curtis Granderson vs Cincinnati ($4,200): Grandy may only be hitting .250, but over the past 7 days he has been the 6th hottest hitter; not just among outfielders but in the league.  In the past 7 days (not including yesterdays 2-3 performance), Granderson hit .458 (11 for 24) with 5 home runs, 5 RBIs, 6 runs scored and 1 stolen base.  His best numbers have come at home against right-handed pitching; that brings us to today’s matchup.  Recently called up Josh Smith couldn’t make it past the third inning his first time out, giving up a home run and walking 6.  His minor league numbers are nothing special and Smith struggled when first promoted to AAA so I expect similar struggles his first go around in the majors. 

Normally I avoid players like Granderson with so many homers in a short period of time; the law of averages tend to be against you, but I’ll roll the dice for just one more game.

7. OF – Kevin Kiermaier, vs Boston ($3,800): Remember above when I mentioned Masterson’s struggles against left-handed hitters?  Kiermaier should be leading off today for the Rays and while he has limited power and speed, all of his home runs (4) and all but one stolen base (7) are against righties.  Kiermaier is also hitting .407 over the past 7 days.  As for Masterson, lefties are hitting .300 against him this year, .320 last season and .288 for his career.  Masterson has also surrendered twice the number of home runs to lefties than righties; not that I’m expecting a home run here, just sayin.

That leaves me $12,800, plenty of money for a first basemen, shortstop and outfielder to fill out my lineup.  Normally I would give a preview of who my final players would be, but I have not decided yet so you will have to wait for me to post my final lineup on twitter sometime before noon.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @TheJimFinch

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Jim Finch

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The self proclaimed Grand High Exhausted Mystic Ruler of Fantasy Baseball. While I am not related to Jennie or Sidd Finch, I will attempt to uphold the integrity of the Finch family name as it relates to baseball.