FIELD OF STREAMS: WEEK 26 WEEKEND WARRIORS

Field of Streams logoWell, this is it.  The end is upon us, my friends.  Only three days remain in the 2014 Major League Baseball season.  It is sad to see it go, but we are less than six months away from pitchers and catchers (which you will soon find ranked right here at Fantasy Assembly) reporting for 2015.  Sorry, I am deflecting my sadness by rushing to the future.  If you’re like me then you actually have a few months of fantasy football frustration (say that five times fast) to get your fantasy fix, so not to worry too much.  Nevertheless this is a sad, sad day.  A day that will live in, umm, sadness?  This is the very last Field of Streams post of 2014.  I’ll pause for you to collect yourselves.  Finished?  Good.  Alright, in an effort to delay all of this coming to an end, let’s see how I fared last weekend.

Last weekend I recommended six starting pitchers to stream and they went 1-3.  Not a great record, sure, but the rest of the numbers will ease your mind a bit (#killthewin).  Those six pitchers had a combined ERA of 2.83, which is a nice number from a bunch of guys, for the most part, who are barely owned.  WHIP is always a toughie with streaming and the 1.34 number put up by these fellas proves that.  The K/9 was not great, but not fully atrocious at 6.94.  So that’s what you got last weekend, let’s see who we have on the docket for this upcoming weekend.

FRIDAY

Ryan Vogelsong, Giants (vs. Padres) – Once again Vogelsong draws the Padres and although his last start was not brilliant (5IP, 4H, 4R, 2ER, BB, 5K), it’s serviceable for a streamer. Plus, how do you not generally like your odds against the Padres? They can score here and there, but the fact remains the Padres are the Padres. Their latest lineup featured six of eight position players with on-base percentages below .300. Not batting average, on…base…percentage! And neither of those two players with OBPs higher than three are exactly getting on base regularly, with OBPs of .322 or .339. They also only have two batters in their most recent lineup with slugging percentages over .358. That is not good, children. It may not have seemed like a great start last time out against the Pads, but Vogelsong’s FIP was 1.73, so, albeit a small sample size, I look for a better outing this time around. Also, at home, Vogelsong has dominated to the tune of a 2.95 ERA,  1.05 WHIP and a 7.61 K/9. I’ll take those numbers, I’ll take ’em real good! Yeah, I don’t know what that means either, but the point is stream Vogelsong!
(14.3% owned in ESPN, 23% owned in Yahoo!)

Jonathon “Jon” Niese, Mets (vs. Astros) – Jon Niese is one of your more underrated pitchers…sort of. Niese has a respectable 3.50 ERA and he generally gives you a decent amount of solid innings. Niese has 21 quality starts in 29 times out this year and one of those games he left in the first inning which caused him to head to the disabled list. After a couple of so-so starts when returning from the disabled list, though? Well, Niese has been pretty money. Eight of his last starts have been quality and his last three starts have been high quality. In those last three starts, Niese allowed only five earned runs over 21 innings, while striking out 19. I’d pretty much just keep rolling with those numbers.
(13.8% owned in ESPN, 25% owned in Yahoo!)

SATURDAY

Nathan Eovaldi, Marlins (at Nationals) – I was a bit iffy on Nate the Great last weekend against these very same Nationals, but he managed to turn in a good outing, giving up two earned runs over seven innings while fanning four. Even with the Nats not playing their optimal lineup I was not sold on Eovaldi’s start for whatever reason. Well, combine that nice start with his last start in Washington and I am in! Eovaldi’s last start in Washington, he allowed just two earned runs over six and one-third innings while fanning five. Eovaldi also only allowed three hits in that start while walking one. Time to go for broke with Eovaldi.
(9.8% owned in ESPN, 16% owned in Yahoo!)

Tsuyoshi Wada, Cubs (at Brewers) – Okay, so this one is a gamble. I mean, a bit more so than other streamers. Wada has not pitched more than three innings in his last three starts, which is not ideal. Before that though, Wada had thrown a quality start in five of seven starts and in the two starts where he did not get a quality start he did pitch into the sixth, and allowed two runs or fewer. In fact, since joining the Cubby rotation, Wada has allowed more than three earned runs just twice. Pah-lus, Wada has also allowed two or fewer runs in nine of his 12 starts. Oh, oh, and, and, in his only start against the Brew Crew this season, Wada allowed only two runs in six and two-thirds innings. I like his chances to bounce back this weekend.
(7.7% owned in ESPN, 13% owned in Yahoo!)

SUNDAY

Henderson Alvarez, Marlins (at Nationals) – I don’t have the numbers in front of me, but I would wager Henderson is at or near the top of the list when it comes to Field of Streams appearances. Henderson is not a big strikeout pitcher, which is one detractor for myself, personally, but other than that, I like him….especially for streaming! Although some luck points to it being lower than it should be, it’s hard to turn away a 2.70 ERA over 180 innings pitched. Even if you do point that number not being sustainable, the FIP of 3.55 is still gonna get things done most of the time. Also, Alvarez has thrown 12 consecutive scoreless innings against the Nationals and in 17.1 innings pitched against the Nats this season, Alvarez has allowed one earned run. Last day of the season, can’t hold anything back!
(39.3% owned in ESPN, 42% owned in Yahoo!)

Robbie Erlin, Padres (at Giants) – Stop, pay no attention to that 4.53 ERA! The FIP is just under 3.50 and SIERA is 3.81, so Erlin the Magician has pitched a bit better than his ERA would indicate.  As a starter, most of Erlin’s metrics are even a bit lower than as a reliever. Erlin is not electric, not flashy, but he gets to pitch in a pitcher’s park in a good situation. You see, Erlin draws the Giants on the last game of the season when, in all likelihood, they will have already clinched a wild card spot. I personally, don’t like the complete resting of starters before the playoffs, but the Giants should be prepping for a one game playoff, so they may not be coming at the Padres 100% on Sunday. It’s a gamble for sure, but if you absolutely need to take a chance, well, go with the Magician.
(.4% owned in ESPN, 2% owned in Yahoo!)

 

Well. That’s it. That’s all she wrote for Field of Streams in 2014. Thanks to all my loyal readers, my on the fence readers and even those who stumbled upon this by mistyping Field of Dreams (part of my evil plan, of course).  While we have a way to go before we talk streaming again, you can still catch me writing here at Fantasy Assembly throughout the offseason, so stay tuned!  Follow me on Twitter (@WillieMoe) and keep reading Fantasy Assembly for all your offseason fantasy info! Good day and Godspeed!

Will Emerson

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Affectionately know by close friends as Willie Moe, Will is back living in Boston after brief, 11 year stint, in upstate New York. Will loves numbers and baseball, so it is no surprise that he has been addicted to fantasy baseball for over two decades. That’s right, Will was playing fantasy baseball since before the internet was providing up to the minute stats and standings, and you had to get your hands inky checking box scores in the newspaper.