Each week, the Assembly will put together their positional rankings for keeper leagues. We are looking at player values for 2014, 2015 and 2016. These rankings are more of a middle ground between Jim’s 2014 Rankings and Peter’s Dynasty Rankings, which represent the next 5-7 years. For your standard keeper leagues, these are your best rankings to gauge your First Base values.
Our 6 experts, with 135 years combined fantasy baseball experience, each ranked the First Base position, and here is the results:
1. Paul Goldschmidt, ARIZ
JIMI: He does it all, power, BA, OBP, and even double digit SB’s.
PETER: In his second full season at the MLB level Goldschmidt proved that he is a worthy MVP candidate. As he enters his 27-year old season additional growth is not unexpected.
2. Joey Votto, CIN
JIM: Consistent numbers and high average gives him the advantage over next 3 years.
KEVIN: Without 2012’s BA or 2010’s HR, he’s simply not elite; the overvalue will continue for at least another year.
3. Chris Davis, BALT
JIMI: Want HR’s and RBI’s? This is your man.
TOMMY: Davis has as much power as anyone in the game. His average is likely to come down a little next year, but he is as good a bet for 40 HRs as anybody. He will also continue to get plenty of RBI chances.
4. Prince Fielder, DET
PAUL: A down season statistically, Fielder is still an elite option. Little known fact: he’s missed just one game in 5 years.
JIMI: Lower numbers for 2013 due to personal matter. Look for strong ’14 season.
5. Freddie Freeman, ATL
TOMMY: Freeman takes this spot because he out-produced traditional first round picks Votto and Fielder in 2013 despite a DL stint, and he is only 24. What if he hits 35 HRs next year?
PETER: Freeman may not have the HR numbers yet, but he will deliver a solid average, and has the chance to drive in a lot of runs in that Braves lineup.
6. Edwin Encarnacion, TOR
JIM: He should remain at his peak for another two years before a decline begin.
JIMI: Power hitter with consecutive 100 RBI seasons.
7. Eric Hosmer, KC
TOMMY: Since the middle of June, Hosmer has hit 16 HRs and stolen 6 bags, all while hitting well above .300. If he were able to keep that pace all season, he would be right there with the elite options. In a re-draft format, the 24 year old Hosmer slots beneath Craig and Pujols. Here, he gets the nod.
PAUL: Bright future ahead for this young star. It would be okay to reach for him.
8. Allen Craig, StL
KEVIN: If he were healthier, he’d be #5 on my list. Great approach and good power; could stay in OF to make room for Adams at 1B.
PETER: Craig can hit. He has owned a batting average solidly over 0.300 at all levels of ball. He will add some homers, probably in the 15-20 range, and in another productive lineup, will drive in and score runs.
9. Albert Pujols, ANA
JIMI: Had off season with injuries. If healthy, he’ll be a top 1B.
PETER: The hardest guy to rank on this list is Pujols. A healthy, productive Pujols is scary, but not as scary as the prospects of another year like 2013.
10. Adrian Gonzalez, LAD
KEVIN: If you don’t pay for his career peak and accept that the 30+ HR days are over, you’ll be satisfied with a reliable hitter in a good lineup.
TOMMY: Gonzo isn’t the sexy pick, but he could still outperform his draft position in a loaded Dodger line-up. He hits for average, has 20-25 HR power and still has a couple good years left.
11. Mark Trumbo, ANA
PETER: Trumbo will deliver HR, and if the underachieving Angels’ lineup improves next season (see Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton), Trumbo could be in for a monster year.
JIM: Will slowly slip down rankings with his Adam Dunn like approach at the plate.
12. Anthony Rizzo, CHC
KEVIN: Huge BABIP drop partly to blame for BA issues; made strides in overall plate discipline, so a .280 BA and 25 HR isn’t out of reach.
PETER: Rizzo hit 22 homers, drove in and scored more than 70 runs in a bad Cubs lineup, and is entrenched in the lineup for the coming years. The power is there, and an average of 0.260 could push him solidly into the top 10.
13. Brandon Belt, SF
TOMMY: Belt got off to a slow start but was still able to produce as a top 20 1B in 2013. He has more power potential than he showed this year and is capable of 25+ long balls in 2014. At age 26, his 2013 breakout could be the tip of the iceberg.
JIM: Will continue to hit the snooze button on the sleeper hype and remain and average pickup.
14. Michael Cuddyer, COL
KEVIN: The new COL 1B with Helton’s retirement? May not hit .330 again but the 5-category contribution should continue.
JIM: Career year at age 34 shouldn’t mask his average past numbers.
15. Mike Napoli, BOS
KEVIN: He’s got power, sure, but health is an issue, and without C eligibility he’s nothing special; value depends on 2014 team, position.
PAUL: Nice he was able to rack up ABs in 2013, but other than Ks, what else did he rack up with them?
16. Matt Adams, StL
JIM: Could/Should be starting at first next year. What he shows will determine his future. These are 3 year rankings but by the end of year 3 I can see him in the top 5 (sleeper).
PETER: Adams can produce, the issue will be getting enough at-bats in St. Louis to be valuable. He is a valuable backup to have on a roster, and a great streaming option in daily leagues.
17. Kendrys Morales, SEA
KEVIN: Safe to say 2009 was a career year, but he’ll be a solid contributor; can’t rank him higher with so many GB, and where he ends up could help or hurt value.
TOMMY: Morales is another good value pick. He isn’t the same player that he was in 2009 but he will give owners solid production across the board at an affordable price.
18. Billy Butler, KC
JIM: Not for all leagues because of limited games played, but solid choice if he qualifies.
PAUL: I didn’t rank because I think his 1B days are behind him. (hopefully his hitting days aren’t ha)
19. Mark Teixiera, NYY
JIMI: Injuries plagued him throughout the season. Should rebound in ’14.
KEVIN: He’s old and coming back from a wrist injury, but he could hit 25 HR in 2014.
20. Corey Hart, MILW
JIM: Injuries keep him from moving up any more than this, but a solid bat when healthy.
JIMI: Missed the entire season with injuries. Could be a huge sleeper next season.
21. Adam Lind, TOR
TOMMY: Lind quietly produced some pretty good numbers in 2013 despite a couple minor injuries that cost him ABs. He is a safe bet for 20 HRs and there is reason to hope for a decent BA as well.
KEVIN: Returned to relevance, but can’t bank on repeat BA, and a 4-year drop in FB% means his HR total is at risk.
22. Jonathan Singleton, HOU
TOMMY: He is likely to struggle in his first go round, but the elite prospect needs to be owned in all keeper leagues, just in case.
PAUL: Should provide power right away for the Astros. Strikeouts are a concern, but he can draw a walk.
23. Yonder Alonso, SD
PETER: The power has not yet arrived for Alonso, but he should produce a solid average while driving in runs.
JIMI: Fine young hitter, but needs to stay healthy and show more.
24. Jose Abreu
PAUL: There are questions about his bat speed, but no one denies his power. Could step right in and hit 25-30 HRs.
Be sure to check out the rest of our consolidated keeper rankings